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Has The Housing Market Hit Rock Bottom?

By Erik Folgate

This is a subject that can lead to some spirited debate. Some experts say that the market is still dropping, and others say that the bottom has hit. I thought that the beginning of 2009 would be the bottom, because the Fall and the holidays are usually very slow times for real estate transactions, and the spring is when purchases increase. I found this article shows empirical evidence that the market could have hit bottom and be on the rebound. Here is an excerpt from the article:

Here’s a surefire way to start an argument: Suggest that the housing market has reached bottom. To be sure, the near-term outlook is still grim, and nobody is forecasting a rapid nationwide rebound. But there are signs that the overbuilding and speculative pricing that inflated the bubble are working their way through the system. In October 2005, near the peak of the boom, the median sales price for a U.S. home reached 7.3 times per capita income; by this May it had fallen to 5.7, in line with historical norms. Nationally, the rate of decline in sales is slowing, and in some regions sales numbers have actually perked up. “The indicators are starting to look better,” says Adam York, an economic analyst with Wachovia.

There are some markets that skew the national numbers quite a bit like Miami, Phoenix, and Las Vegas which shot up like a rocket and fell like an anvil. But, Smart Money dug through the numbers and found a few large markets and found these home markets could be appreciating in value.

  1. Raleigh, NC
  2. Salt Lake City, UT
  3. Philadelphia, PA
  4. Denver, CO
  5. Birmingham, AL
  6. Seattle, WA
  7. Des Moines, IA

Money Crashers is dedicated to shedding a little light in the darkness, because the mainstream media only feeds us the bads news. There is real evidence that the housing market is looking up, but you won’t hear that from CNN or NBC. Do you live in any of the cities listed above? Do you agree that those markets are doing well despite the housing bubble bust? Comment below to share with us your thoughts.

Erik Folgate
Erik and his wife, Lindzee, live in Orlando, Florida with a baby boy on the way. Erik works as an account manager for a marketing company, and considers counseling friends, family and the readers of Money Crashers his personal ministry to others. Erik became passionate about personal finance and helping others make wise financial decisions after racking up over $20k in credit card and student loan debt within the first two years of college.

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  • ekrabs

    This is just my personal opinion, but as a general trend, it’s not likely. The economy is in a state of contraction, consumer spending in general has gone down, and mortgages in general has gotten harder to obtain.

    However, as your article points out, the real estate market is usually a local phenomenon. Some are less volatile than others. Some are doing better than others.

  • Andrew Knight

    Hi Erik,

    I’m emailing you in regards to an email I sent to you last month about a partnership, have you had a chance to think about it?

    If you have any questions or would more information, please advise me and we can go from there.

    Kind Regards,
    Andrew Knight.
    Website Manager
    Banking & Finance Division
    Asia-Pacific Region

    Online Marketing Group Pty Limited
    Email: [email protected]
    Web: http://www.omg.com.au

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