According to an old superstition, it’s good luck to find a penny on the sidewalk. But whether or not you believe picking up that penny will bring you luck, one thing it definitely won’t bring you is wealth.
Pennies are worth so little now that by taking five seconds to pick one up, you’re earning just $7.20 an hour — less than the federal minimum wage.
Pennies are so close to worthless that many people argue it’s time to do away with them altogether. A nonpartisan organization called Citizens to Retire the U.S. Penny has attracted the support of economists from Harvard and Wake Forest University.
Recent Efforts to Kill (Or Keep) the Penny
Former Representative Jim Kolbe of Arizona sponsored two bills in Congress to eliminate the penny. And in February 2014, President Barack Obama argued during a YouTube chat that pennies were obsolete and a symbol of U.S. government waste.
However, while many people are calling for the penny’s retirement, others are working just as hard to keep the coin in circulation. The main pro-penny lobbying group is Americans for Common Cents, which represents Jarden Zinc, the company that makes the zinc and copper blanks from which pennies are produced.
This organization has conducted polls showing that more than two-thirds of Americans favor keeping the penny. On its website, the group marshals an array of arguments that eliminating the penny would lead to disaster for consumers, charities, the government, and the economy as a whole.
In 2020, the penny debate gained new attention as the COVID-19 pandemic led to a nationwide coin shortage. With more consumers moving toward contactless payment methods, news sources from Fortune to NPR began asking: Is the penny finally on its way out?
Reasons to Retire the Penny
The arguments for halting production of pennies basically boil down to the idea that “they’re more trouble than they’re worth.” Pennies today are worth almost nothing, but they still cost money to produce and consume vast quantities of natural resources.
To anti-penny advocates, that’s a lot of costs for a coin that can’t even buy a piece of gum anymore.
1. They’re Useless
When the Baby Boomers were young, a penny still had some value. In the 1960s and early 1970s, an ice cream cone might only set you back a nickel or a dime.
Even during my childhood in the 1980s, there was a candy store not far from our house that sold “penny candy” in jars — one penny for a mini Tootsie Roll, or two for a Mary Jane.
Today, there’s literally nothing you can buy with a single penny — and you can’t do much else with it either. Vending machines don’t accept them, and neither do most parking meters. Even automatic toll booths won’t take them — except in Illinois, the home state of President Abraham Lincoln, whose face adorns the coin.
And if a single penny is useless, a whole bunch of pennies isn’t much better. If you try paying for something in a store with a fistful of pennies, you can expect dirty looks from both the clerk and the other customers — if the store doesn’t just flat-out refuse to take them.
Pennies are so hard to spend that many people don’t even bother — they just store them all in jars, or even throw them away. Economist Greg Mankiw of Harvard University argues that pennies are simply no longer useful as a means of exchange: “When people start leaving a monetary unit at the cash register for the next customer, the unit is too small to be useful.”
There are precedents for getting rid of coins that are too small to use. Back in 1857, the U.S. Mint stopped producing half-cent coins — which, according to the historical information calculator at MeasuringWorth.com, had a purchasing power of $0.15 in 2020 dollars. At the time it was eliminated, the “useless” halfpenny could buy as much as 15 pennies can today.
If consumers in 1857 could get along without halfpennies, then modern consumers can almost certainly manage without a coin that’s worth less than one-tenth as much.
2. They Waste Time
As useless as pennies are, most of us can’t avoid them. Often, when we pay with cash at a store, the total amount doesn’t end in a multiple of $0.05. To pay the exact amount, we have to either hand over some pennies or receive some in change.
This not only weighs down our pockets, but it also holds up the line while we mess around counting out coins. Citizens to Retire the U.S. Penny cites a study done by Walgreens and the National Association of Convenience Stores showing that handling pennies adds an average of two seconds to each cash transaction.
That doesn’t sound like much, but a 2019 Federal Reserve study shows that the average consumer still makes 11 cash transactions each month — and according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, there are over 230 million consumers in the country. Add it all up, and it comes to more than 25 million hours wasted each year.
To save time at the register, some businesses have experimented with rounding all transactions to the nearest nickel. Several Chipotle restaurants tried this in 2012, but customers who had extra cents added to their bills complained.
Rather than drop the practice completely, however, the stores decided to simply round all bills down to the nearest $0.05 instead. Management decided that losing a cent or two on most transactions was better than having long lines of customers waiting for change.
Supporters of the penny don’t buy this argument. Americans for Common Cents, the pro-penny group funded by the zinc industry, calls the claim “absurd.” In the first place, the group argues, employees who spend less time counting out change won’t necessarily spend it on other, more useful tasks.
It also says there are “many reasons to believe” that time spent at the register could actually increase, rather than decrease, if pennies are eliminated. However, it doesn’t say what those reasons are.
3. They’re Bad for the Environment
Despite what the old song says, pennies don’t really come from heaven. They come from mines in the earth — zinc mines, mostly, because pennies are more than 97% zinc. As the U.S. Mint explains, the copper surface of a penny accounts for only 2.5% of its metal content.
According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, zinc ores contain only 3% to 11% metallic zinc. Along with the zinc, the ores usually contain other metals, including toxic metals like cadmium and lead. In addition, zinc itself, although necessary in small amounts, is harmful in high doses to both humans and animals. All these toxic metals can contaminate water, soil, and plants in the area surrounding the mine.
Producing pennies also uses a great deal of energy. It takes energy to extract the zinc from the ore, roll it out, stamp it into coins, and transport the coins to banks. Because pennies are worth so little, they’re much heavier than any other coin in proportion to their value.
The American Council of Science and Health calculates that just transporting pennies to banks — not even counting any of the other stages of their production — put about 107 million pounds of carbon dioxide (CO2) into the atmosphere between 1982 and 2016.
4. They Cost the Government Money
Anti-penny advocates are fond of pointing out that today, the penny costs taxpayers more to produce than it’s actually worth. According to a report by the U.S. Mint, it now costs about $0.018 — or 1.8 cents — to make one cent. That means whenever the Mint produces a penny and sends it out to a bank, it’s losing money on the deal.
According to CNN, the Mint has researched the possibility of making pennies from cheaper materials, but it could not find a way to bring the cost of producing them below their face value.
Of course, spending $0.018 to make a coin that’s worth only $0.01 isn’t necessarily a bad idea because coins are reusable. In theory, a single penny could be used for hundreds or thousands of transactions before it drops out of circulation.
However, this only works if the coins actually do circulate — and pennies, as noted above, often don’t. They’re so hard to use that they end up stuffed in jars or abandoned on sidewalks.
In 1996, the Government Accountability Office reported that roughly two-thirds of pennies don’t circulate at all. More recently, economist Robert Shapiro estimated that each penny only gets used around twice per year, or 55 times over its lifespan.
As a result, the Mint has to keep making more pennies. In 2020, the Mint shipped out more pennies than nickels, quarters, and dimes put together — over 8 billion coins. That adds up to a loss of over $61 million for that year alone.
One problem with this argument, according to penny proponents, is that if there were no pennies, the Mint would have to produce more nickels. Nickels also cost more to make than their face value — about $0.07 apiece — so the Mint loses even more money on each nickel it produces than it does on each penny.
Many anti-penny advocates think the ideal solution to this problem is to eliminate the nickel as well, making the dime the smallest coin in circulation. Dimes cost less than $0.04 to make, so the Mint could produce more of those without losing money.
Aaron notes in his Brookings Institution editorial that eliminating both pennies and nickels would round off all cash transactions to the nearest $0.10, making for “easier math” and “less stuff in our pockets.”
Reasons to Keep the Penny
Some of the arguments for keeping the penny are practical ones. For instance, penny supporters claim that eliminating the coin could harm the economy or hamper charities in their fundraising efforts.
However, other arguments are sentimental, having to do with the way people feel about the coin. These arguments aren’t based on logic — which, ironically, makes them much harder to counter.
1. They Keep Prices Low
Penny supporters point out that if we get rid of the penny, all-cash transactions will have to be rounded off to the nearest nickel. According to Americans for Common Cents, this will lead to a “rounding tax.” In other words, stores will deliberately manipulate their prices to ensure transactions are always rounded up instead of down.
Consumers using credit wouldn’t be affected by this because their transactions could still be counted out to the cent. However, it would hit low-income Americans especially hard. According to CNBC, adults who make less than $30,000 per year are about four times as likely to make most of their purchases with cash as those who earn $75,000 or more.
The pro-penny group backs up its claim by pointing to the work of economist Raymond Lombra. In 1990, he testified before the Senate Banking Committee that his “careful statistical analysis” of prices showed that rounding cash sales up or down to the nearest nickel would cost consumers around $600 million per year (around $1.2 billion in 2021 dollars).
Lombra also argued that this small change in prices would trigger an increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Consequently, all government payments tied to the CPI, such as Social Security, would rise, costing the government $1.5 billion ($3 billion in today’s dollars) over five years.
However, a newer study by economist Robert Whaples, published by the Eastern Economic Journal in 2007, contradicts Lombra’s findings. Lombra did his “careful analysis” by simply looking at a convenience store’s prices and assuming that each consumer would buy three items in one visit. Whaples, by contrast, analyzed actual data from more than 200,000 convenience-store transactions in seven states.
Based on this data, Whaples concluded that after sales taxes and fees, consumers would come out slightly ahead on average with prices rounded off to the nickel. However, he also stresses that even if prices did increase, the difference would be so tiny it couldn’t possibly affect the CPI. Thus, it couldn’t affect government expenditures or trigger widespread inflation.
Another piece of evidence against Lombra’s claims comes from Canada, which stopped minting its penny in 2013. Cash transactions there are now rounded up or down to the nearest $0.05. Payments made with credit, debit, or old-fashioned checks are still settled down to the cent.
According to Trading Economics, the inflation rate in Canada since the changeover has wavered between a high of around 3% and a low of negative 0.5%. At no point did it rise above its historical average of 3.2% until the post-COVID inflation surge that affected economies worldwide (including those that hadn’t done away with their penny equivalent). In Canada, at least, eliminating the penny has not led to a widespread increase in prices.
2. Charities Rely on Them
Pro-penny groups argue that even if pennies seem worthless, they actually add up to hundreds of millions of dollars in charitable donations each year. Charities such as the Leukemia and Lymphoma Society and Ronald McDonald House raise funds through “penny drives,” encouraging people to donate their unwanted pennies for important causes.
The very fact that pennies have so little value makes them useful to charities because people are happy to give them away.
Penny opponents point out several problems with this argument. First of all, if the U.S. Mint stops producing pennies, they won’t simply lose their value overnight. Instead, the coins will be gradually pulled out of circulation.
It follows that once stores stop accepting pennies, consumers will have even more incentive to donate the coins to charity because they won’t be able to use them anywhere else. That’s what happened in Canada, where the Salvation Army and numerous other charities held drives to collect discontinued pennies in 2013.
Second, once pennies drop out of circulation, the nickel will become the lowest-value coin cluttering up people’s pockets. So instead of penny drives, charities could start holding nickel drives, putting out bottles or wishing fountains to collect the new “useless” coins. And since each nickel is worth five times as much as a penny, charities would gather five times as much money with each spare coin tossed into the jar.
Citizens to Retire the U.S. Penny points out that in countries that have retired their one-cent coins, charities have not reported a significant drop-off in donations — although the group doesn’t provide any sources to back up this claim.
Finally, small-change drives aren’t a cost-effective way for charities to raise funds. It takes a lot of time for volunteers to pick up, clean, sort, and count all those coins, and the more pennies there are in the mix, the less value the charity gets for each coin it handles.
And as it grows ever easier for charities to accept donations electronically, coin drives are likely to play a diminishing role in fundraising.
3. They Honor Lincoln
Some supporters of the penny point out that it’s the only coin bearing the image of Abraham Lincoln, probably our nation’s most revered president. Eliminating the penny, they argue, would be disrespectful to his memory.
Anti-penny advocates scoff at this argument, pointing out that Lincoln would still remain on the $5 bill, which is actually useful to consumers. The bills, according to the Federal Reserve, cost only $0.048 to print, far less than their $5 face value. That makes them a much more cost-effective way to honor Lincoln than a penny that costs $0.018 to mint.
4. Americans Like Them
Despite all the arguments for retiring the penny, the majority of Americans are in favor of keeping it. A 2015 Harris poll shows that 51% of Americans favor keeping the penny, while just 29% think we should eliminate it.
A 2019 poll by Americans for Common Cents found even stronger numbers in favor of pennies, saying 68% of adults want to see the penny remain legal tender. However, the fact that this poll was conducted by a pro-penny group suggests that the questions might be somewhat biased toward the pro-penny side.
What’s less clear is why Americans are so committed to a coin with so little monetary value. President Obama in his 2014 YouTube chat suggested that Americans are “attached emotionally” to the penny because it brings back happy childhood memories of saving pennies in piggy banks and seeing them eventually turn into dollars.
This is the least substantive argument in favor of keeping the penny, and yet, ironically, it’s probably the most effective. So long as most Americans remain attached to the penny — whether their reasons are logical or not — it’s unlikely that a bill to eliminate it will ever make it through Congress.
It’s possible that what happens to the penny could end up depending not on the law, but on decisions made by businesses. If more businesses follow Chipotle’s example (while learning from its mistake) and start rounding down their bills, their customers will find themselves with fewer pennies in their pockets.
As both stores and individuals stop keeping pennies on hand, banks won’t need to supply as many. Eventually, this reduced demand will result in fewer pennies being minted each year.
But it’s hard to see anything changing overnight. Perhaps the penny is destined to continue its long, lonely slide into irrelevance.